Draft Capital

Team Total First 3 Rounds Jimmy Johnson Model (1990s) Chase Stuart Model (2012) Rich Hill Model (2018) Fitzgerald Model (2019)
Giants 11 5 4352.4 89.5 1253.37 8933
Packers 11 4 2230.8 54.55 723.64 5836
Ravens 11 4 2781 72.8 871.62 7535
Bears 11 3 1249.8 35.25 374.55 4326
Chiefs 10 5 2226 91.65 710.92 5884
Vikings 10 4 1781 50.65 546.04 5583
Patriots 10 3 1377.5 43.35 440.08 4914
Texans 9 5 4599.2 84.3 1242.09 8218
Seahawks 9 4 2706.4 59.9 803.27 6175
Titans 9 4 1970.3 51.8 624.45 5529
49ers 9 3 588.6 26.1 194.84 3269
Browns 9 3 722.9 32.05 237.48 3860
Cowboys 9 3 1382.4 42.1 437.65 4715
Broncos 9 2 676.2 30.95 409 3793
Falcons 8 5 2692.6 59.6 793.43 6035
Colts 8 4 964.4 32.85 289.6 3806
Jaguars 8 4 4258.6 69.8 1391.1 6887
Lions 8 4 4394.4 67.95 1245.86 6705
Bills 8 3 1258.8 35.15 401.62 4008
Cardinals 8 3 623.4 21.9 194.13 2677
Commanders 8 3 1673.8 42.7 523.75 4608
Chargers 8 2 1241.6 31.15 393.23 3520
Rams 8 1 162.4 11.2 64.82 1830
Jets 7 5 4568 85.5 1336.5 8036
Buccaneers 7 3 1172.7 35.85 372.02 3886
Steelers 7 3 1447.2 35.2 452.12 3862
Bengals 6 3 1084 32.15 344.66 3447
Panthers 6 2 1806.6 35.15 520.88 3705
Raiders 6 1 259.4 15.5 96.98 2043
Eagles 5 3 1746.2 36.8 510.22 3728
Saints 5 3 2588.8 49.2 771.46 4908
Dolphins 4 1 142 9.15 58.81 1270
Legend
Above average
Below average
For Total Picks, we assume average is 7 picks (each team receives 1 pick per round by default)
For first 3 rounds, we assume average is 3 picks (each team receives 1 pick per round by default)
For each of the valuation models, we determine an average by summarizing the total value available to the model, then dividing by 32
Jimmy Johnson Model
The first and probably still most widely referenced draft pick valuation model. Created by Hall of Famer Jimmy Johnson in the early 1990s. It was created before Collective Bargaining and before supplemental draft picks could be traded.
Chase Stuart Model
The Chase Stuart model was developed in November 2012. The model accounts for free agency by focusing on the the average marginal value added by players in the first 5 years of their career.
Rich Hill Model
The Rich Hill model developed in 2017 and 2018, attempts to measure how teams actually value picks. It also accounts for teams having the freedom to trade supplemental picks.
Fitzgerald Model
Developed in 2019, Jason Fitzgerald's Model, values picks by the historical second contract outcome. The Rich Hill model is what teams perceive they have, the Fitzgerald model is what they actually have.